Evaluating Vertical Markets and Use Cases

Choosing the Game & The League

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Choosing the right vertical market

Robotics is not a standalone industry – it is a technology asset class with a wide range of applications across the largest, most essential global markets.

At the most fundamental level of evaluating a robotics solution, consider the vertical market for which it is being developed. Both the market, and the customers within that market, must show signs of readiness to adopt robotics.

  1. Market Readiness
    1. Demand Indicators
    2. Infrastructure Indicators
  2. Customer Readiness
    1. Internal Indicators
    2. External Indicators
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Market Readiness

Demand Indicators

  • Labor shortages and/or high labor cost
  • Repetitive tasks
  • High pressure for productivity, throughput, and predictability
  • Increased demand for customization, mass production, quantities of one-of-one end products
  • One (maybe two) market leaders pioneering robotics (ex. Amazon in supply chain)
  • Underserved by automation

Infrastructure Indicators

  • Professional organizations that facilitate industry best practices and knowledge sharing
  • Presence of system integrators in the value chain
  • Open pathways for new entrants; not entirely dominated by a few incumbent providers
  • Distribution channels in place to access target customers (to give smaller companies options other than a direct sales approach)
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Vertical Market Segment Insight

Market segment with high likelihood to adopt robotics: B2B, B2B2C

B2B markets are best suited for robotics adoption. Product requirements are more favorable because B2B settings are often in structured environments with less variable tasks. Employees and end users have technical knowledge or can be trained, human robot interactions are more defined, and even though there is a long ramp time in B2B it is ultimately easier to get early adoption with large scale potential.

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Examples of robotics-friendly markets:

  • Manufacturing
  • Supply chain and logistics
  • Healthcare
  • Construction
  • Agriculture

Markets with indicators for future robotics adoption:

  • Space
  • Energy
  • Utilities
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Market segment with low likelihood to adopt robotics: B2C

Consumer is historically the “go to” market sector for new tech innovation due to large markets, fast adoption with high volumes, and typically more relaxed performance and environmental requirements. However, in robotics it is the toughest market to penetrate – use case criteria and product development and cost considerations are all major challenges.

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SO WHAT:

  • B2C has historically seen the biggest failures in robotics startups. Operating robots in the presence of the everyday consumer in uncontrolled environments with the highest safety requirements with the most cost sensitive customers is an extraordinary challenge. iRobot is the best (and only) success story to date.
  • Advancements in robotics and AI is bringing the industry closer to meeting this challenge, but carefully considered strategies will be required to ultimately be successful at scale
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Customer Readiness

Internal indicators

  • Tech-friendly, early adopters
  • Clarity around problem set that can be addressed by automation
  • Safety concerns for human workforce
  • Tolerance for workflow changes
  • Availability of capital for pilots and experimentation, R&D
  • Customer willingness and ability to pay

External indicators

  • Pressure to continuously improve and surpass the competition
    market and macro pressure for change
  • Recent disruption in business landscape
  • Recent or anticipated new policy and/or regulation
  • New entrant to the industry that could change competitive dynamics
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SO WHAT:

  • Market Readiness and Customer Readiness VARIES A LOT and there are certain applications that are absolutely NOT ready to adopt robotic solutions today
  • Proceed with caution, deeply analyze the market and customer readiness, and be sure that the expected adoption timelines will be acceptable
  • Just because the robot could solve the problem doesn’t mean it is a good problem to go solve and build a high quality business around. Don’t fall into the “early adopters trap”
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Choosing the Right Use Case

There are 3 primary considerations for entrepreneurs and investors when evaluating a robotics startup’s target use case in a particular vertical market. These are:

  1. Operating Environment
  2. Scalability
  3. Defensibility
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1. Operating Environment

a. Indoor vs. Outdoor

Indoor Characteristics

  • Structured layouts enabling efficient path planning and optimization
  • Stable and predictable temperature and weather conditions
  • Electronics designed for optimized performance without concerns about external conditions
  • Relatively lower maintenance and support costs
  • Enhanced reliability and cost-effectiveness in operations
  • Opportunities for seamless integration with existing indoor systems and workflows
  • Available and reliable wireless connectivity
  • Power and charging access points

Examples of Indoor Environments

  • Farms and orchards
  • Cities
  • Mines
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1. Operating Environment

B. Structured vs. Unstructured Operating Environments

Characteristics of Structured Environments

  • Gridded layouts
  • Human travel lanes
  • Defined work cells
  • Fixed locations for automation execution
  • Minimal change in environment over time//low instances of unexpected obstacles and traffic

Examples of Structured Environments

  • Warehouses (with aisles and shelves)
  • Farms with row crops
  • Factories

  • Vast set of edge and corner cases
  • Less able to optimize a robotics solution
  • More sensors and compute to navigate these environments
  • More planning for safety required
  • Unplanned congestion
  • Unexpected obstacles

Examples of Unstructured Environments

  • Construction sites
  • Hospitals
  • Urban sidewalks
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1. Operating Environment

C. Human-Robot Isolation vs. Co-working Environments

Human-robot collaboration

  • Humans and robots work closely together, sharing the same workspace.
  • Requires safety measures and protocols to ensure seamless interaction.
  • Finding the optimal use of robots while humans assist in the more complex tasks, i.e. Locus AMR with workers doing the pick and place

Independent robot operation in human environments

  • Robots operate autonomously among people without direct human interaction.
  • Requires a level of adaptability and responsiveness from the robots
  • Safety mechanisms, such as detectable clothing, may be employed to prevent accidents
  • In many cases, this proves to be more expensive with low efficiency and throughput due to the emphasis on detecting and avoiding humans

Isolated robot operation without human presence

  • Robots operate in environments with no human presence, exemplified by solutions like Kiva, and traditional industrial arms
  • Robots are able to move swiftly and carry heavy loads without human interference.
  • Despite its efficiency and cost effectiveness, this category may have reached a plateau due to limited applications or the need for a complete change of the workflow and operational processes
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SO WHAT:

  • It is important to focus deeply on a specific use case in large B2B market/use cases while seeking out adjacent market opportunities over time for the same product.
  • Today, there are very few examples of successful robotics companies with general purpose robots that are targeting many markets and applications. Foundational robotics AI model and Humanoids are the obvious examples that could change the prospects for general purpose robots in the future, but it’s too early to judge it now.
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Vertical Markets
Use Cases